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Predictive Maintenance System Architecture 🏗️

From 10 to 10,000 machines with ML-powered failure prediction and automated work orders

July 3, 2025
🏭 Manufacturing🏗️ Architecture📊 Scalable🤖 AI-Powered

From sensor data to automated maintenance in 30 seconds.

Monday: 3 prompts for failure prediction. Tuesday: automated agent workflows. Wednesday: team collaboration patterns. Thursday: complete production architecture. IoT sensors, ML prediction, agent orchestration, CMMS integration, and edge computing for 10,000+ machines.

Key Assumptions

  • Monitor 10-10,000 industrial machines (CNC, pumps, conveyors, robots)
  • Sensor data: vibration, temperature, pressure, current draw (100+ metrics per machine)
  • Historical failure data available (min 6 months for ML training)
  • CMMS system exists (SAP PM, IBM Maximo, or similar)
  • Edge devices available for local processing (optional but recommended)
  • Network connectivity: 99%+ uptime, latency <100ms to cloud
  • Compliance: ISO 55000 (asset management), OSHA safety standards

System Requirements

Functional

  • Real-time sensor data ingestion (100Hz-10kHz per sensor)
  • ML-based failure prediction (7-14 day horizon)
  • Anomaly detection with <5 min latency
  • Automated work order generation in CMMS
  • Root cause analysis using LLMs
  • Maintenance scheduling optimization
  • Historical trend analysis and reporting

Non-Functional (SLOs)

latency p95 ms5000
freshness min5
availability percent99.9
prediction accuracy percent85
false positive rate percent5

💰 Cost Targets: {"per_machine_per_month_usd":15,"per_prediction_usd":0.05,"total_infrastructure_monthly_usd":2000}

Agent Layer

planner

L4

Decomposes maintenance tasks, selects specialized agents, coordinates workflow

🔧 Task prioritizer, Agent registry lookup, Workflow orchestrator

⚡ Recovery: Retry with exponential backoff, Fallback to manual queue if all agents fail, Alert ops team after 3 failures

prediction

L3

Runs ML models to predict failures, estimates time-to-failure, confidence scores

🔧 Feature store API, ML inference service, Model registry, Drift detector

⚡ Recovery: Use cached predictions if inference fails, Fallback to rule-based heuristics, Flag low-confidence predictions for review

diagnosis

L3

Root cause analysis using LLMs, retrieves similar past failures, generates explanations

🔧 LLM API (GPT-4/Claude), Vector DB (RAG retrieval), Parts catalog API, Maintenance manual search

⚡ Recovery: Retry with different LLM if timeout, Use template responses if LLM unavailable, Human review for complex cases

scheduling

L3

Optimizes maintenance schedules, creates work orders, assigns technicians

🔧 CMMS API, Scheduling optimizer, Inventory system, Notification service

⚡ Recovery: Queue work orders if CMMS down, Manual assignment if optimizer fails, Alert supervisor for critical failures

evaluator

L2

Validates predictions, checks data quality, measures agent performance

🔧 Metrics store, Statistical tests, Drift detector, Alerting service

⚡ Recovery: Continue monitoring even if alerts fail, Log all evaluations for offline analysis

guardrail

L4

Safety checks, prevents dangerous predictions, enforces business rules

🔧 Policy engine, Safety rule checker, Audit logger

⚡ Recovery: Fail-safe: block all actions if guardrail down, Human approval required for critical decisions

ML Layer

Feature Store

Update: Real-time (streaming) + batch (hourly aggregates)

  • Vibration RMS (rolling 1min, 5min, 1hr windows)
  • Temperature delta (current vs baseline)
  • Current draw deviation
  • Pressure variance
  • Cycle count
  • Time since last maintenance
  • Bearing age (days)
  • Lubrication status
  • Load factor (% of rated capacity)
  • Environmental (humidity, ambient temp)

Model Registry

Strategy: Semantic versioning (major.minor.patch), Git-backed, immutable artifacts

  • BearingFailureClassifier
  • MotorAnomalyDetector
  • PumpDegradationRegressor

Observability

Metrics

  • 📊 predictions_per_hour
  • 📊 ml_inference_latency_p95_ms
  • 📊 false_positive_rate_percent
  • 📊 work_orders_created_per_day
  • 📊 cmms_api_latency_p95_ms
  • 📊 agent_task_success_rate
  • 📊 edge_gateway_uptime_percent
  • 📊 sensor_data_quality_score
  • 📊 model_accuracy_rolling_7d
  • 📊 cost_per_prediction_usd

Dashboards

  • 📈 ops_dashboard
  • 📈 ml_performance_dashboard
  • 📈 agent_health_dashboard
  • 📈 cmms_integration_dashboard
  • 📈 cost_analytics_dashboard

Traces

✅ Enabled

Deployment Variants

🚀 Startup

Infrastructure:

  • Serverless-first (Lambda/Cloud Run)
  • Managed services (RDS, ElastiCache, IoT Hub)
  • Single region (us-east-1 or eu-west-1)
  • Shared LLM API keys
  • Basic RBAC (3 roles)
  • Email notifications only

Deploy in 2-4 weeks

Cost: $500-2K/mo for 100-1K machines

Manual model retraining (monthly)

Best for: Pilot projects, single-facility deployments

🏢 Enterprise

Infrastructure:

  • Kubernetes (EKS/GKE/AKS)
  • Private networking (VPC peering, PrivateLink)
  • Multi-region active-active
  • BYO KMS/HSM for encryption
  • SSO/SAML integration (Okta, Azure AD)
  • Dedicated ML infrastructure (GPU clusters)
  • Multi-tenant data isolation (separate DBs per customer)
  • Custom CMMS integrations
  • Advanced monitoring (Datadog, Dynatrace)

Deploy in 3-6 months

Cost: $25K-100K/mo for 10K+ machines

Automated model retraining (daily)

99.9% SLA with financial penalties

Data residency (EU/US/APAC regions)

Best for: Multi-site manufacturing, global deployments

📈 Migration: Start with startup variant for pilot (1-2 sites). Migrate to enterprise when: (1) >1K machines, (2) Multi-site deployment, (3) Regulatory requirements (data residency, SSO). Migration path: (a) Deploy K8s in parallel, (b) Dual-write to both systems, (c) Gradual traffic shift, (d) Decommission serverless after validation.

Risks & Mitigations

⚠️ Sensor data quality degradation

High

✓ Mitigation: Data quality checks at edge + cloud. Flag low-quality readings. Alert technician to check sensor. Skip prediction if <70% quality score.

⚠️ Model drift (machine behavior changes)

Medium

✓ Mitigation: Weekly drift detection (KL divergence). Automatic retraining triggered if accuracy <80% for 3 days. A/B testing before full rollout.

⚠️ False positives (unnecessary maintenance)

Medium

✓ Mitigation: Target <5% false positive rate. Guardrail Agent blocks low-confidence predictions. Human review for high-cost repairs (>$10K).

⚠️ CMMS integration failure

Low

✓ Mitigation: Queue work orders with retry (exponential backoff, up to 1hr). Alert supervisor if CMMS down >1hr. Manual entry as fallback.

⚠️ LLM hallucinations (fake part numbers, wrong diagnosis)

Medium

✓ Mitigation: 4-layer validation: confidence scores, parts catalog cross-check, logical consistency, human review. 0.5% hallucination rate, 100% caught.

⚠️ Edge gateway offline (network outage)

Medium

✓ Mitigation: Local data buffering (24hr). Cloud-based fallback (higher latency). Auto-reconnect + sync when online.

⚠️ Regulatory compliance (data residency, audit)

Low

✓ Mitigation: Multi-region deployment with data residency controls. 7-year audit logs (immutable storage). Annual compliance audits (ISO 55000).

Evolution Roadmap

1

Phase 1: MVP (0-3 months)

Weeks 1-12
  • Deploy edge gateways on 10-50 machines
  • Implement basic anomaly detection (rule-based + Isolation Forest)
  • Manual work order creation (no CMMS integration)
  • Single-model prediction (XGBoost for bearings)
  • Email notifications only
2

Phase 2: Agent Orchestration (3-6 months)

Weeks 13-24
  • Scale to 100-500 machines
  • Implement multi-agent system (Planner, Prediction, Diagnosis, Scheduling)
  • CMMS integration (SAP PM or Maximo)
  • LLM-based root cause analysis (RAG)
  • Automated work order creation
  • A/B testing framework for models
3

Phase 3: Enterprise Scale (6-12 months)

Weeks 25-52
  • Scale to 1,000-10,000 machines
  • Multi-region deployment (US + EU + APAC)
  • Multi-model ensemble (XGBoost + LSTM + Isolation Forest)
  • Continuous learning (automatic retraining)
  • Advanced scheduling optimization (constraint solver)
  • Enterprise features (SSO, RBAC, data residency, audit)

Complete Systems Architecture

9-layer architecture from edge devices to cloud orchestration

Edge Layer
IoT Sensors (vibration, temp, pressure)
Edge Gateways (local processing)
Local Feature Extraction
Edge ML Models (anomaly detection)
Ingestion Layer
IoT Hub (MQTT/AMQP)
Stream Processor (Kafka/Kinesis)
Time-Series DB (InfluxDB/TimescaleDB)
Data Quality Validator
Agent Layer
Planner Agent
Prediction Agent
Diagnosis Agent
Scheduling Agent
Guardrail Agent
Orchestrator
ML Layer
Feature Store (derived metrics)
Model Registry (versioned models)
Training Pipeline (batch)
Inference Service (real-time)
Evaluation Loop
Integration Layer
CMMS Adapter (SAP/Maximo)
ERP Connector
Notification Service
Asset Registry
Data Layer
Time-Series DB (sensor data)
PostgreSQL (metadata, work orders)
Vector DB (embeddings for RAG)
S3/Blob Storage (raw logs)
Observability Layer
Metrics (Prometheus)
Logs (ELK/Loki)
Traces (Jaeger)
ML Dashboards (Grafana)
Security Layer
IAM/RBAC
Secrets Manager (KMS)
Audit Trail
Network Firewall
External Systems
CMMS APIs
LLM APIs (GPT/Claude)
Notification APIs (email/SMS)
Weather/Supply Chain APIs

Sequence Diagram - Failure Prediction Flow

SensorEdge GatewayIoT HubPlanner AgentPrediction AgentDiagnosis AgentScheduling AgentCMMSStream vibration data (10kHz)Aggregated features (1Hz)Anomaly detected (threshold breach)Request failure predictionFetch features + run modelFailure probability: 87% (7 days)Diagnose root causeAnalyze sensor patterns + maintenance logsRoot cause: Bearing wear (part #12345)Generate work orderCreate work order (priority: high)Notification sent

Predictive Maintenance - Agent Orchestration

6 Components
[RPC]Sensor data + prediction request[Event]Failure predictions + confidence[RPC]Anomaly context + machine state[Event]Root cause + recommendations[RPC]Maintenance tasks + priority[Event]Work orders + assignments[Event]Agent outputs + metrics[Event]Validation results + quality scores[RPC]Proposed actions + context[Event]Safety approval + constraints[Event]Model predictions + metadata[Event]Diagnosis results + risk levelPlanner Agent4 capabilitiesPrediction Agent4 capabilitiesDiagnosis Agent4 capabilitiesScheduling Agent4 capabilitiesEvaluator Agent4 capabilitiesGuardrail Agent4 capabilities
HTTP
REST
gRPC
Event
Stream
WebSocket

Predictive Maintenance - External Integrations

10 Components
[MQTT]Sensor telemetry stream[gRPC]Processed sensor data[REST]Historical trends + features[REST]Model fetch + version[REST]Work orders + maintenance plans[Webhook]Completion status + feedback[WebSocket]Real-time assignments + guidance[REST]Task updates + observations[WebSocket]Live predictions + metrics[REST]Manual overrides + feedback[Event]Critical failure alerts[REST]Parts requests + cost data[REST]Inventory availability[Kafka]Raw data archive + audit logs[Batch]Training datasetsCore System4 capabilitiesIoT Sensor Network4 capabilitiesCMMS Platform4 capabilitiesTime Series Database4 capabilitiesML Model Registry4 capabilitiesTechnician Mobile App4 capabilitiesOperations Dashboard4 capabilitiesAlert System4 capabilitiesERP System4 capabilitiesData Lake4 capabilities
HTTP
REST
gRPC
Event
Stream
WebSocket

Data Flow - Sensor to Work Order

30-second end-to-end flow from anomaly detection to CMMS

1
IoT Sensor0s
Streams vibration data10kHz raw signal
2
Edge Gateway0.1s
Local feature extractionRMS, FFT, kurtosis (1Hz)
3
Edge ML Model0.5s
Anomaly detectionAnomaly score: 0.92
4
IoT Hub1s
Publishes alertMQTT message
5
Planner Agent1.5s
Routes to Prediction AgentTask ID + machine context
6
Feature Store2s
Retrieves 100+ featuresFeature vector (last 7 days)
7
Prediction Agent5s
Runs ML inferenceFailure prob: 87%, TTF: 7 days
8
Guardrail Agent5.5s
Validates confidenceApproved (>80% threshold)
9
Diagnosis Agent10s
RAG retrieval + LLM analysisRoot cause: Bearing wear
10
Scheduling Agent12s
Optimizes scheduleBest slot: 2025-07-10 02:00
11
CMMS Adapter15s
Creates work orderSAP PM format
12
CMMS API18s
Writes to SAPWork order #WO-12345
13
Notification Service20s
Alerts technicianEmail + SMS
14
Evaluator Agent21s
Logs predictionAudit trail + metrics

Scaling Patterns

Volume
10-100 machines
Pattern
Edge + Cloud Hybrid
Architecture
Edge gateways (local anomaly detection)
Cloud API (prediction + diagnosis)
PostgreSQL (metadata)
InfluxDB (time-series)
Single region
Cost
$500/mo
5-10 sec
Volume
100-1,000 machines
Pattern
Stream Processing + Agent Orchestration
Architecture
Kafka/Kinesis (event streaming)
Lambda/Cloud Run (serverless agents)
Feature store (Redis + S3)
Model registry
Multi-region (active-passive)
Cost
$2,000/mo
3-5 sec
Volume
1,000-10,000 machines
Pattern
Distributed ML + Multi-Agent System
Architecture
Kubernetes (agent orchestration)
Kafka (event streaming)
Ray/Spark (distributed ML training)
Multi-model serving (A/B testing)
TimescaleDB (time-series at scale)
Multi-region (active-active)
Cost
$8,000/mo
2-4 sec
Volume
10,000+ machines
Pattern
Enterprise Multi-Tenant
Architecture
K8s clusters per region
Kafka + Flink (stream processing)
Dedicated ML infrastructure (GPU clusters)
Multi-tenant data isolation
Private networking (VPC peering)
BYO KMS/HSM
SSO/SAML integration
Cost
$25,000+/mo
1-3 sec

Key Integrations

SAP Plant Maintenance (PM)

Protocol: REST API + IDoc
Query asset master data
Create work order (IW31)
Update status (TECO/CNF)
Fetch maintenance history

IBM Maximo

Protocol: REST API (OSLC)
Create work order (WORKORDER object)
Assign labor (LABOR object)
Update status
Query asset hierarchy

IoT Sensor Network

Protocol: MQTT (edge) + AMQP (cloud)
Sensor publishes to edge gateway
Gateway aggregates + forwards to IoT Hub
Hub routes to Kafka topic
Agents subscribe to topics

ERP System (Inventory)

Protocol: REST API
Check parts availability
Reserve parts for work order
Update inventory after maintenance

Notification Services

Protocol: SMTP (email) + Twilio (SMS) + Slack API
Alert technician (high priority)
Notify supervisor (critical failures)
Daily digest (all predictions)

Security & Compliance

Failure Modes & Fallbacks

FailureFallbackImpactSLA
Edge gateway offlineCloud-based anomaly detection (higher latency)Degraded (10s vs 1s detection)99.5%
ML inference service downUse cached predictions (last 24hr) + rule-based heuristicsReduced accuracy (70% vs 85%)99.9%
LLM API timeout (diagnosis)Template-based root cause (top 10 common failures)Generic diagnosis99.0%
CMMS API unavailableQueue work orders, retry with exponential backoff (up to 1hr)Delayed work order creation99.5%
Sensor data quality degradedFlag low-quality readings, use last-known-good valuesLower prediction confidence100% (never predict on bad data)
Database unavailableRead from replica (read-only mode)No new predictions, existing data accessible99.99%
Model drift detectedRollback to previous model versionSlightly lower accuracy (revert to v-1)99.9%

Multi-Agent Architecture

6 specialized agents collaborate autonomously with human oversight

┌──────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│           ORCHESTRATOR (LangGraph)           │
└────────────────┬─────────────────────────────┘
                 │
      ┌──────────┼──────────┬─────────┬────────┐
      │          │          │         │        │
  ┌───▼───┐  ┌──▼───┐  ┌───▼────┐ ┌─▼──┐  ┌──▼────┐
  │Planner│  │Predict│ │Diagnosis│ │Sched│ │Guardrail│
  │Agent  │  │Agent  │ │ Agent   │ │Agent│ │ Agent   │
  └───┬───┘  └──┬───┘  └───┬────┘ └─┬──┘  └──┬────┘
      │         │          │        │        │
      └─────────┴──────────┴────────┴────────┘
                 │
         ┌───────┴────────┐
         │                │
      ┌──▼─────┐    ┌────▼─────┐
      │  ML    │    │  CMMS    │
      │ Layer  │    │ Adapter  │
      └────────┘    └──────────┘

Agent Collaboration Flow

1
Edge Gateway
Detects vibration anomaly → Sends alert to Planner
2
Planner Agent
Analyzes alert → Routes to Prediction Agent
3
Prediction Agent
Fetches features → Runs ML model → Returns 87% failure prob (7 days)
4
Guardrail Agent
Validates prediction confidence → Approves (>80% threshold)
5
Diagnosis Agent
Queries RAG for similar failures → LLM generates root cause (bearing wear)
6
Scheduling Agent
Checks tech availability + parts inventory → Creates work order in CMMS
7
Evaluator Agent
Logs prediction for future accuracy tracking
8
CMMS
Notifies technician → Work order accepted

Reactive Agent

Evaluator - Responds to outcomes, logs metrics
Autonomy: LowStateless

Reflexive Agent

Prediction Agent - Uses context + rules + ML
Autonomy: MediumReads context

Deliberative Agent

Diagnosis Agent - Plans RAG queries, reasons about causes
Autonomy: HighStateful

Orchestrator Agent

Planner - Coordinates all agents, handles complex workflows
Autonomy: HighestFull state management

Levels of Autonomy

L1
Tool
Human calls, agent responds
Monday's prompts
L2
Chained Tools
Sequential execution
Tuesday's code
L3
Agent
Makes decisions, can loop
Prediction Agent
L4
Multi-Agent
Agents collaborate autonomously
This system

Advanced ML/AI Patterns

Production ML engineering for predictive maintenance

Time-Series Feature Engineering

Multi-Model Ensemble

RAG for Root Cause Analysis

Maintenance logs update daily. RAG allows real-time knowledge updates without retraining. Fine-tuning would require weekly retraining ($5K/week).
✅ RAG (Chosen)
Cost: $200/mo
Update: Real-time
How: Add new logs to vector DB
❌ Fine-Tuning
Cost: $20K/mo
Update: Weekly
How: Retrain on new corpus
Implementation: Vector DB (Pinecone) with 5 years of maintenance logs (100K+ incidents). Chunked by failure type. Retrieved top-5 similar incidents before LLM diagnosis.

Hallucination Detection

LLMs hallucinate part numbers, repair steps, failure causes
L1
Confidence scores (<0.8 = flag for review)
L2
Cross-reference parts catalog (reject if part doesn't exist)
L3
Logical consistency (e.g., can't replace bearing on a pump)
L4
Human review queue (supervisor approval for >$10K repairs)
0.5% hallucination rate, 100% caught before work order creation

Online Learning & Drift Detection

1
Detect: - KL divergence on feature distributions (weekly)
2
Evaluate: - Compare predictions vs actual failures (daily)
3
Retrain: - Incremental learning on last 30 days data
4
Deploy: - A/B test (10% traffic) for 7 days before full rollout

Evaluation Framework

Prediction Accuracy (F1)
87.3%target: 85%+
False Positive Rate
3.8%target: <5%
Time-to-Detection
2.1 mintarget: <5 min
Time-to-Action
18 sectarget: <30 sec
Cost per Prediction
$0.03target: <$0.05
Testing: Shadow mode: 1000 machines parallel with manual inspection for 3 months. Validated 87% accuracy before production rollout.

Dataset Curation

1
Collect: 5 years sensor data (50TB raw) - Export from SCADA/DCS systems
2
Label: 10K failure events - ($$50K)
3
Clean: 8.5K usable (removed sensor errors, duplicates) - Data quality checks
4
Augment: +2K synthetic (edge cases) - SMOTE + time-series augmentation
10.5K labeled examples, class-balanced, inter-rater reliability: 0.91 (Cohen's Kappa)

Agentic RAG

Diagnosis Agent iteratively retrieves knowledge based on reasoning
Initial prediction: bearing failure. Agent reasons: 'Need similar vibration patterns.' RAG retrieves 5 cases. Agent: 'Also need lubrication history.' RAG retrieves maintenance logs. Agent: 'Check if temperature correlated.' RAG retrieves temp data. Final diagnosis: 'Bearing wear due to insufficient lubrication (last service 18mo ago, spec is 12mo).'
💡 Not one-shot retrieval. Agent decides what else it needs to know, iterates until confident.

Tech Stack Summary

Edge Computing
Raspberry Pi / Industrial PCs with Docker
IoT Ingestion
AWS IoT Core / Azure IoT Hub / MQTT Broker
Stream Processing
Kafka + Flink / Kinesis + Lambda
Time-Series DB
InfluxDB / TimescaleDB / Prometheus
Feature Store
Feast / Tecton / Custom (Redis + S3)
ML Training
Python (scikit-learn, XGBoost, PyTorch) + Ray/Spark
ML Serving
TorchServe / TensorFlow Serving / Custom FastAPI
LLMs
GPT-4 (OpenAI) / Claude (Anthropic) / Gemini (Google)
Vector DB
Pinecone / Weaviate / Milvus
Agent Orchestration
LangGraph / CrewAI / Custom
CMMS Integration
SAP PM API / IBM Maximo REST API / Custom adapters
Database
PostgreSQL (metadata) + InfluxDB (time-series)
Compute
Kubernetes (EKS/GKE) or Serverless (Lambda/Cloud Run)
Monitoring
Prometheus + Grafana / Datadog / CloudWatch
Security
AWS KMS / Azure Key Vault / Okta (SSO)
🏗️

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